Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 8
Premier League · Friday 23 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich · updated 2026-10-10
Ipswich Town welcome Nottingham Forest to Portman Road Stadium in Ipswich in Premier League Gameweek 8 action on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Ipswich Town have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Nottingham Forest have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Ipswich Town 34%, the draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Ipswich Town 1.29, Nottingham Forest 1.40.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Ipswich Town: form and key numbers
In style Ipswich Town are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.71 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 45.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Nottingham Forest: form and key numbers
In style Nottingham Forest press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.50 a match created, 1.08 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: season averages side by side
| Ipswich Town | Per match this season | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 2.2 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 1.71 | xG conceded | 1.08 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 4.6 | On target | 3.4 |
| 45.0 | Possession % | 47.4 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Ipswich Town
- Abdul Fatawu Issahaku RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Exequiel Palacios CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 62 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 9% of his position)
Nottingham Forest
Scouting spotlight: Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White, 26 · Nottingham Forest · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 67
Morgan Gibbs-White, 26, plays as an attacking midfielder for Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and big chances created. Weakest in through balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 67
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 62
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.46 / 90 | 97% |
| Big chances created | 1.00 / 90 | 97% |
| Key passes | 2.80 / 90 | 83% |
| Fouls won | 1.60 / 90 | 69% |
| Expected goals | 0.26 / 90 | 62% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★½ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Big-chance creator, Chance creator.
- What Morgan Gibbs-White is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Morgan Gibbs-White's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Nottingham Forest should have more of the ball; Nottingham Forest are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.29 for Ipswich Town and 1.40 for Nottingham Forest - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.69 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 10 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Newcastle United Monday 12 October 2026
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: questions and answers
When is Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest is on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 8.
Where is Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest played?
At Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich, Ipswich Town's home ground.
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
It is close: Ipswich Town 34%, draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 39%. Our prediction is Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest.
Who is the player to watch in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.