North Macedonia vs Switzerland Prediction and Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League B · Sunday 27 September 2026 · played · updated 2026-10-10
This match has been played. The preview below is as it stood before kick-off.
North Macedonia welcome Switzerland in UEFA Nations League B action on Sunday 27 September 2026.
North Macedonia have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Switzerland have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Switzerland are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 21% and North Macedonia at 13%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.8% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is North Macedonia +1.25 at 1.88, Switzerland at 1.81. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.86, under 1.80, which gives over 49%.
North Macedonia vs Switzerland: season averages side by side
| North Macedonia | Per match | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.94 | xG conceded | 0.90 |
| 0.75 | Goals | 2.10 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 20.0 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 8.0 | Fouls | 12.1 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 0.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 30 measured matches.
North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for North Macedonia and 1.23 for Switzerland - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Switzerland have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: North Macedonia 1-2 Switzerland
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
North Macedonia vs Switzerland betting tips
- Tip 1: Switzerland to win 66% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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North Macedonia vs Switzerland: questions and answers
When is North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
North Macedonia vs Switzerland is on Sunday 27 September 2026, in UEFA Nations League B.
Who will win North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Switzerland are the favourites: North Macedonia 13%, draw 21%, Switzerland 66%. Our prediction is North Macedonia 1-2 Switzerland.
How many goals will there be in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.