Barcelona vs Getafe Prediction and Betting Tips
La Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Barcelona welcome Getafe to Spotify Camp Nou in Barcelona in La Liga action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Barcelona have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 4.4 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 100% of them. At home they average 4.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 43% win rate. Getafe have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Barcelona are clear favourites at 86%, with the draw at 9% and Getafe at 4%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Barcelona -3 at 1.83, Getafe at 2.07. The main goals line is 4: over 1.89, under 2.00, which gives over 51%.
Barcelona: form and key numbers
In style Barcelona keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 3.68 a match created, 0.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.3).
- Shots: 21.4 a match, 8.3 on target.
- Possession: 68.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.21.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.92 a match created, 1.37 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.3 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Barcelona vs Getafe: season averages side by side
| Barcelona | Per match | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 3.68 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.92 |
| 0.99 | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 4.43 | Goals | 0.57 |
| 21.4 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 8.3 | Shots on target | 2.7 |
| 4.0 | Big chances missed | 0.6 |
| 81.1 | Pressure share % | 47.1 |
| 16.3 | Tackles | 12.7 |
| 9.6 | Fouls | 14.7 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 3.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Barcelona vs Getafe: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Barcelona have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Barcelona 7, Getafe 1 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Getafe 0-2 Barcelona (April 25th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Barcelona won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Getafe | 0 – 2 | Barcelona |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Barcelona | 3 – 0 | Getafe |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Getafe | 1 – 1 | Barcelona |
| 25 Sep 2024 | Barcelona | 1 – 0 | Getafe |
Players to watch
Barcelona
- Rodri DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 76 · Secure passer, Ball circulator (top 2% of his position)
- Raphinha CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 76 · Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher (top 1% of his position)
Getafe
- David Soria GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 54 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 1% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 49 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal, 19 · FC Barcelona · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 88
Lamine Yamal, 19, plays as a winger for FC Barcelona in La Liga. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 91
- RW · Winger Natural, 88
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 84
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 4.49 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected goals | 0.86 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.67 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 4.34 / 90 | 99% |
| Shots | 5.89 / 90 | 99% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions, Creator.
- What Lamine Yamal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lamine Yamal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Barcelona vs Getafe prediction
Barcelona should have more of the ball, with Getafe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Barcelona like to take players on; Getafe go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals - 2.96 for Barcelona and 0.73 for Getafe - with over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 49%. Barcelona have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Barcelona 2-0 Getafe
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Barcelona vs Getafe betting tips
- Tip 1: Barcelona to win 86% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 71% by the model, 3.69 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More La Liga previews
- Malaga CF vs RCD Espanyol Saturday 10 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Saturday 10 October 2026
- Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Sunday 11 October 2026
- Elche CF vs Celta Vigo Sunday 11 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna Sunday 11 October 2026
Barcelona vs Getafe: questions and answers
When is Barcelona vs Getafe?
Barcelona vs Getafe is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in La Liga.
Where is Barcelona vs Getafe played?
At Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona, Barcelona's home ground.
Who will win Barcelona vs Getafe?
Barcelona are the favourites: Barcelona 86%, draw 9%, Getafe 4%. Our prediction is Barcelona 2-0 Getafe.
Who is the player to watch in Barcelona vs Getafe?
Lamine Yamal of FC Barcelona: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 88 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona vs Getafe?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.