Fulham vs Hull City Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 7
Premier League · Saturday 17 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Fulham welcome Hull City to Craven Cottage in London in Premier League Gameweek 7 action on Saturday 17 October 2026.
Fulham have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Hull City have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Fulham are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 24% and Hull City at 20%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Fulham -0.75 at 1.89, Hull City at 2.01. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.93, under 1.95, which gives over 50%.
Fulham: form and key numbers
In style Fulham keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.66 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 54.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 32.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Fulham vs Hull City: season averages side by side
| Fulham | Per match | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 1.56 | xG conceded | 1.44 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 1.20 |
| 14.4 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 44.8 | Pressure share % | 24.2 |
| 13.8 | Tackles | 17.0 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 3.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Fulham
- Alex Iwobi DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 50 · Long passer, Disciplined (top 10% of his position)
- Gonzalo García Torres CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 47 · Dominant in the air, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- John Egan CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 51 · Box defender, Hard to dribble past (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Shea Charles
Shea Charles, 22 · Fulham · DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 59
Shea Charles, 22, plays as a defensive midfielder for Fulham in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in blocked shots and interceptions. Weakest in long balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 59
- CM · Central midfielder Competent, 46
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 2.37 / 90 | 99% |
| Interceptions | 2.66 / 90 | 94% |
| Fouls committed | 0.30 / 90 | 88% |
| Passes | 59.21 / 90 | 77% |
| Dispossessed | 0.30 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Blocks shots, Reads the game, Disciplined.
- What Shea Charles is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Shea Charles's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Fulham vs Hull City prediction
Fulham should have more of the ball, with Hull City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Fulham like to take players on; Hull City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.33 for Fulham and 1.21 for Hull City - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 52%. Fulham have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Fulham 1-0 Hull City
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Fulham vs Hull City betting tips
- Tip 1: Fulham to win 56% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.54 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (47%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Premier League previews
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- Ipswich Town vs Fulham Saturday 10 October 2026
- Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion Saturday 10 October 2026
- Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Sunday 11 October 2026
Fulham vs Hull City: questions and answers
When is Fulham vs Hull City?
Fulham vs Hull City is on Saturday 17 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 7.
Where is Fulham vs Hull City played?
At Craven Cottage, London, Fulham's home ground.
Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?
Fulham are the favourites: Fulham 56%, draw 24%, Hull City 20%. Our prediction is Fulham 1-0 Hull City.
Who is the player to watch in Fulham vs Hull City?
Shea Charles of Fulham: a anchor with a Moneyball Score of 59 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Hull City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.