Hull City vs Everton Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 6
Premier League · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Hull City welcome Everton to MKM Stadium in Hull in Premier League Gameweek 6 action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Hull City have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Everton have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Everton are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 29% and Hull City at 28%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Hull City +0.25 at 2.05, Everton at 1.85. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.88, under 2.01, which gives over 52%.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 32.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Everton: form and key numbers
In style Everton are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 43.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Hull City vs Everton: season averages side by side
| Hull City | Per match | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 1.44 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 1.20 | Goals | 1.20 |
| 12.0 | Shots | 16.0 |
| 3.8 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 2.0 |
| 24.2 | Pressure share % | 48.8 |
| 17.0 | Tackles | 18.0 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 7.8 |
| 3.4 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 65 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- John Egan CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 51 · Box defender, Hard to dribble past (top 5% of his position)
Everton
- James Tarkowski CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Duel winner, Reads the game (top 1% of his position)
- Jordan Pickford GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Box defender, Long passer (top 28% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Thierno Barry
Thierno Barry, 23 · Everton · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 61
Thierno Barry, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Everton in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shots. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 3.65 / 90 | 89% |
| Shots | 3.65 / 90 | 85% |
| Duels won | 5.80 / 90 | 79% |
| Expected goals | 0.54 / 90 | 71% |
| Goals | 0.43 / 90 | 55% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, High shot volume.
- What Thierno Barry is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Thierno Barry's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Hull City vs Everton prediction
Everton should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.17 for Hull City and 1.07 for Everton - with over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 46%. Everton have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Hull City 0-1 Everton
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Hull City vs Everton betting tips
- Tip 1: Everton win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 2.23 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Hull City vs Everton in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Premier League previews
- Arsenal vs Leeds United Saturday 10 October 2026
- Aston Villa vs Brentford Saturday 10 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Bournemouth AFC Saturday 10 October 2026
- Ipswich Town vs Fulham Saturday 10 October 2026
- Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion Saturday 10 October 2026
- Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Sunday 11 October 2026
Hull City vs Everton: questions and answers
When is Hull City vs Everton?
Hull City vs Everton is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 6.
Where is Hull City vs Everton played?
At MKM Stadium, Hull, Hull City's home ground.
Who will win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton are the favourites: Hull City 28%, draw 29%, Everton 43%. Our prediction is Hull City 0-1 Everton.
Who is the player to watch in Hull City vs Everton?
Thierno Barry of Everton: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Everton?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.