Manchester City vs Ipswich Town Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 7
Premier League · Saturday 17 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Manchester City welcome Ipswich Town to Etihad Stadium in Manchester in Premier League Gameweek 7 action on Saturday 17 October 2026.
Manchester City have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 100% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 60% win rate. Ipswich Town have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Manchester City are clear favourites at 75%, with the draw at 15% and Ipswich Town at 10%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Manchester City -2 at 2.01, Ipswich Town at 1.89. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.97, under 1.92, which gives over 49%.
Manchester City: form and key numbers
In style Manchester City keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.00 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.0).
- Shots: 13.6 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 63.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.04.
Ipswich Town: form and key numbers
In style Ipswich Town are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.71 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 45.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Manchester City vs Ipswich Town: season averages side by side
| Manchester City | Per match | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.29 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | 1.71 |
| 2.60 | Goals | 1.40 |
| 13.6 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 5.4 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 2.2 | Big chances missed | 0.8 |
| 65.4 | Pressure share % | 42.1 |
| 12.2 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 10.6 | Fouls | 11.0 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Manchester City
- Elliot Anderson DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 72 · Duel winner, Ball circulator (top 1% of his position)
- Josko Gvardiol LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Duel winner, Dribbler (top 6% of his position)
Ipswich Town
- Abdul Fatawu Issahaku RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 63 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Exequiel Palacios CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 62 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki, 23 · Manchester City · AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 77
Rayan Cherki, 23, plays as an attacking midfielder for Manchester City in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 77
- LW · Winger Competent, 67
- RW · Winger Competent, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.53 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.48 / 90 | 95% |
| Big chances created | 0.88 / 90 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.34 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Rayan Cherki is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Rayan Cherki's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Manchester City vs Ipswich Town prediction
Manchester City should have more of the ball, with Ipswich Town likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Manchester City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 2.54 for Manchester City and 1.07 for Ipswich Town - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 61%. Manchester City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Manchester City 2-1 Ipswich Town
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Manchester City vs Ipswich Town betting tips
- Tip 1: Manchester City to win 75% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.62 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Manchester City vs Ipswich Town in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Manchester City vs Ipswich Town: questions and answers
When is Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Manchester City vs Ipswich Town is on Saturday 17 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 7.
Where is Manchester City vs Ipswich Town played?
At Etihad Stadium, Manchester, Manchester City's home ground.
Who will win Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Manchester City are the favourites: Manchester City 75%, draw 15%, Ipswich Town 10%. Our prediction is Manchester City 2-1 Ipswich Town.
Who is the player to watch in Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Rayan Cherki of Manchester City: a creator with a Moneyball Score of 77 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.