Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 7
Premier League · Monday 19 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Coventry City to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London in Premier League Gameweek 7 action on Monday 19 October 2026.
Tottenham Hotspur have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Coventry City have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Tottenham Hotspur are clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 21% and Coventry City at 16%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Tottenham Hotspur -1 at 1.78, Coventry City at 2.13. The main goals line is 3: over 1.93, under 1.95, which gives over 50%.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.67 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 60.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Coventry City: form and key numbers
In style Coventry City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created, 1.70 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 39.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: season averages side by side
| Tottenham Hotspur | Per match | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.84 |
| 1.67 | xG conceded | 1.70 |
| 0.40 | Goals | 0.20 |
| 14.2 | Shots | 10.2 |
| 3.8 | Shots on target | 3.2 |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| 54.8 | Pressure share % | 36.3 |
| 18.6 | Tackles | 9.0 |
| 13.2 | Fouls | 12.0 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Tottenham Hotspur
- Sandro Tonali DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Disciplined, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
- Rodrigo Bentancur DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 60 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
Coventry City
- Bobby Thomas CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 54 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 10% of his position)
- Ethan Pinnock CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke, 26 · Tottenham Hotspur · CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66
Jan Paul van Hecke, 26, plays as a centre-back for Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 66
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 66
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 77.80 / 90 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy | 94% | 93% |
| Long balls | 4.20 / 90 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 1.20 / 90 | 87% |
| Tackles | 2.00 / 90 | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ★★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Secure passer, Long passer.
- What Jan Paul van Hecke is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jan Paul van Hecke's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball, with Coventry City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Tottenham Hotspur like to take players on; Coventry City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.33 for Tottenham Hotspur and 0.91 for Coventry City - with over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 45%. Tottenham Hotspur have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Coventry City
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City betting tips
- Tip 1: Tottenham Hotspur to win 63% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 2.23 goals expected
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: questions and answers
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City is on Monday 19 October 2026, in Premier League Gameweek 7.
Where is Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City played?
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Tottenham Hotspur's home ground.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Tottenham Hotspur are the favourites: Tottenham Hotspur 63%, draw 21%, Coventry City 16%. Our prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Coventry City.
Who is the player to watch in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Jan Paul van Hecke of Tottenham Hotspur: a ball-playing centre-back with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.