LASK Linz vs Liverpool Prediction and Betting Tips
UEFA Champions League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
LASK Linz welcome Liverpool to Raiffeisen Arena in UEFA Champions League action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
LASK Linz have played 3 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. Liverpool have played 5 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Liverpool are clear favourites at 74%, with the draw at 16% and LASK Linz at 10%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.8% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is LASK Linz +1.75 at 2.04, Liverpool at 1.84. The main goals line is 3.5: over 2.00, under 1.86, which gives over 48%.
LASK Linz: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.28 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 23.7 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Liverpool: form and key numbers
In style Liverpool keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.84 a match created, 1.32 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 59.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
LASK Linz vs Liverpool: season averages side by side
| LASK Linz | Per match | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.84 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.32 |
| 1.67 | Goals | 1.40 |
| 23.7 | Shots | 15.2 |
| 6.3 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| – | Big chances missed | 1.2 |
| – | Pressure share % | 63.6 |
| 19.7 | Tackles | 16.4 |
| 14.3 | Fouls | 13.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 3 and 5 measured matches.
LASK Linz vs Liverpool: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- LASK Linz have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: LASK Linz 1, Liverpool 7 - 4.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Liverpool 4-0 LASK Linz (November 30th 2023).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings LASK Linz won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2023 | Liverpool | 4 – 0 | LASK Linz |
| 21 Sep 2023 | LASK Linz | 1 – 3 | Liverpool |
Players to watch
Liverpool
- Jérémy Jacquet FB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
- Virgil van Dijk CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Long passer, Ball circulator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak, 27 · Liverpool · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64
Alexander Isak, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Liverpool in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.73 / 90 | 91% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 89% |
| Goals | 0.87 / 90 | 87% |
| Shots | 3.25 / 90 | 75% |
| Shots on target | 47% | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Takes high-quality shots, Clinical finisher.
- What Alexander Isak is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexander Isak's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
LASK Linz vs Liverpool prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.57 for LASK Linz and 1.50 for Liverpool - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%. Liverpool have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: LASK Linz 1-2 Liverpool
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
LASK Linz vs Liverpool betting tips
- Tip 1: Liverpool to win 74% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.07 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open LASK Linz vs Liverpool in the Match Centre Follow it live
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LASK Linz vs Liverpool: questions and answers
When is LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
LASK Linz vs Liverpool is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League.
Where is LASK Linz vs Liverpool played?
At Raiffeisen Arena, LASK Linz's home ground.
Who will win LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are the favourites: LASK Linz 10%, draw 16%, Liverpool 74%. Our prediction is LASK Linz 1-2 Liverpool.
Who is the player to watch in LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
Alexander Isak of Liverpool: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in LASK Linz vs Liverpool?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.