Real Betis vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips
La Liga · Monday 12 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Real Betis welcome Osasuna to Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla in Sevilla in La Liga action on Monday 12 October 2026.
Real Betis have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 60% win rate. Osasuna have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Real Betis are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Osasuna at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Betis -1 at 2.00, Osasuna at 1.90. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.97, under 1.92, which gives over 49%.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 17.4 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 54.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Osasuna: form and key numbers
In style Osasuna are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.19 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 9.3 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 45.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.64.
Real Betis vs Osasuna: season averages side by side
| Real Betis | Per match | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.19 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.35 |
| 1.29 | Goals | 0.86 |
| 17.4 | Shots | 9.3 |
| 6.4 | Shots on target | 3.9 |
| 1.9 | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| 54.7 | Pressure share % | 42.7 |
| 19.9 | Tackles | 15.7 |
| 9.7 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Real Betis vs Osasuna: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Real Betis have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Real Betis 6, Osasuna 3 - 2.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis (April 12th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Real Betis won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Osasuna | 1 – 1 | Real Betis |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Real Betis | 2 – 0 | Osasuna |
| 11 May 2025 | Real Betis | 1 – 1 | Osasuna |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Osasuna | 1 – 2 | Real Betis |
Players to watch
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 79 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 2% of his position)
- Isco AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Draws fouls (top 3% of his position)
Osasuna
- Alejandro Catena CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 57 · Hard to dribble past, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Abel Bretones LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 41 · Creator, Ball-winner (top 18% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir, 35 · Osasuna · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 74
Ante Budimir, 35, plays as a centre-forward for Osasuna in La Liga. Strongest for his role in duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 74
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.61 / 90 | 97% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 xG/shot | 96% |
| Expected goals | 0.82 / 90 | 94% |
| Shots on target | 61% | 93% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.76 / 90 | 92% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Ante Budimir is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ante Budimir's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction
Real Betis should have more of the ball, with Osasuna likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Real Betis like to take players on; Osasuna are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.68 for Real Betis and 1.00 for Osasuna - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 52%. Real Betis have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Real Betis vs Osasuna betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Betis to win 59% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Real Betis vs Osasuna in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Real Betis vs Osasuna: questions and answers
When is Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Real Betis vs Osasuna is on Monday 12 October 2026, in La Liga.
Where is Real Betis vs Osasuna played?
At Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla, Real Betis's home ground.
Who will win Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Real Betis are the favourites: Real Betis 59%, draw 23%, Osasuna 17%. Our prediction is Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna.
Who is the player to watch in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Ante Budimir of Osasuna: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
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