Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction and Betting Tips

Slovan Bratislava welcome VfB Stuttgart to Štadión Tehelné pole in Bratislava in UEFA Champions League action on Thursday 15 October 2026.

Slovan Bratislava have played 7 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate. VfB Stuttgart have played 4 matches in UEFA Champions League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.

On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Slovan Bratislava are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 25% and VfB Stuttgart at 32%.

Slovan Bratislava: form and key numbers

VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers

In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: season averages side by side

Slovan BratislavaPer matchVfB Stuttgart
0.55Expected goals (xG)1.86
–xG conceded2.15
1.57Goals1.50
11.6Shots15.3
4.4Shots on target5.5
–Big chances missed2.8
–Pressure share %52.3
7.9Tackles13.5
12.7Fouls9.8
1.9Yellow cards1.5

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 4 measured matches.

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 3 meetings Slovan Bratislava won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Jan 2025Slovan Bratislava1 – 3VfB Stuttgart
26 Aug 2010VfB Stuttgart2 – 2Slovan Bratislava
19 Aug 2010Slovan Bratislava0 – 1VfB Stuttgart

Players to watch

VfB Stuttgart

Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt

Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 82

Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Accurate crosses 95Key passes 95Expected assists 99Successful dribbles 77Expected goals 50Tackles 58Interceptions 93Duels won 79Dribbled past 60

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • LWB · Wing-back Natural, 82
  • RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 78
  • LB · Full-back Competent, 72

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Expected assists (est.)0.59 / 9099%
Accurate crosses3.36 / 9095%
Key passes3.62 / 9095%
Interceptions2.07 / 9093%
Duels won5.69 / 9079%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
  • ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
  • ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder

Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.69 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.43 for VfB Stuttgart - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. Slovan Bratislava have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 VfB Stuttgart

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Slovan Bratislava win or draw (double chance) 68% between them
  2. Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.11 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
  4. Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.4 cards a match between them
  5. Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Open Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart in the Match Centre Follow it live

More UEFA Champions League previews

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: questions and answers

When is Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Champions League.

Where is Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart played?

At Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava, Slovan Bratislava's home ground.

Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

Slovan Bratislava are the favourites: Slovan Bratislava 43%, draw 25%, VfB Stuttgart 32%. Our prediction is Slovan Bratislava 2-1 VfB Stuttgart.

Who is the player to watch in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 82 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Tags

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.