Torino vs Udinese Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 6
Serie A · Monday 12 October 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino · updated 2026-10-10
Torino welcome Udinese to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino in Serie A Gameweek 6 action on Monday 12 October 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC.
Torino have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Udinese have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Torino 39%, the draw 26%, Udinese 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Torino 1.56, Udinese 1.45.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Torino: form and key numbers
In style Torino keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 0.94 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 9.4 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Udinese: form and key numbers
In style Udinese are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.30 a match created, 1.72 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 14.2 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 45.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Torino vs Udinese: season averages side by side
| Torino | Per match this season | Udinese |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 0.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.30 |
| 1.84 | xG conceded | 1.72 |
| 9.4 | Shots | 14.2 |
| 3.0 | On target | 4.8 |
| 53.8 | Possession % | 45.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 80% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Torino
- Saúl Coco CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 55 · Hard to dribble past, Ball circulator (top 6% of his position)
- Kian Fitz-Jim CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Creator (top 7% of his position)
Udinese
- Hassane Kamara LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Crosser, Hard to dribble past (top 23% of his position)
- Maduka Okoye GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 48 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 21% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda, 31 · Udinese · RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 57
Mërgim Vojvoda, 31, plays as a full-back for Udinese in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 57
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 1.68 / 90 | 96% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.17 / 90 | 94% |
| Passes | 49.51 / 90 | 80% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.63 / 90 | 67% |
| Dribbled past | 0.63 / 90 | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
- What Mërgim Vojvoda is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mërgim Vojvoda's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Torino vs Udinese prediction
Torino should have more of the ball, with Udinese likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Udinese go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.56 for Torino and 1.45 for Udinese - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Torino vs Udinese betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.01 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Napoli vs Frosinone Saturday 10 October 2026
- Cagliari vs Juventus Sunday 11 October 2026
- Atalanta vs Venezia Monday 12 October 2026
- Torino vs Monza Friday 23 October 2026
Torino vs Udinese: questions and answers
When is Torino vs Udinese?
Torino vs Udinese is on Monday 12 October 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 6.
Where is Torino vs Udinese played?
At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Torino's home ground.
Who will win Torino vs Udinese?
It is close: Torino 39%, draw 26%, Udinese 35%. Our prediction is Torino 1-1 Udinese.
Who is the player to watch in Torino vs Udinese?
Mërgim Vojvoda of Udinese: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 57 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Udinese?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.