Como vs AS Roma Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 6
Serie A · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Como welcome AS Roma to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como in Serie A Gameweek 6 action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Como have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 33% win rate. AS Roma have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 80% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Como 36%, the draw 28%, AS Roma 36%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Como 0 at 1.96, AS Roma at 1.94. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.92, under 1.97, which gives over 51%.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.90 a match created, 1.68 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.5).
- Shots: 23.4 a match, 7.2 on target.
- Possession: 61.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.02.
AS Roma: form and key numbers
In style AS Roma keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.55 a match created, 1.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 20.6 a match, 7.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.16.
Como vs AS Roma: season averages side by side
| Como | Per match | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.55 |
| 1.68 | xG conceded | 1.05 |
| 1.80 | Goals | 2.80 |
| 23.4 | Shots | 20.6 |
| 7.2 | Shots on target | 7.0 |
| 2.2 | Big chances missed | 2.4 |
| 63.5 | Pressure share % | 67.9 |
| 17.2 | Tackles | 20.6 |
| 7.8 | Fouls | 13.0 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Como vs AS Roma: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Como have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Como 5, AS Roma 4 - 2.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Como 2-1 AS Roma (March 15th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Como won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Como | 2 – 1 | AS Roma |
| 15 Dec 2025 | AS Roma | 1 – 0 | Como |
| 2 Mar 2025 | AS Roma | 2 – 1 | Como |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Como | 2 – 0 | AS Roma |
Players to watch
Como
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 77 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 5% of his position)
- Assane Diao LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 74 · Chance creator, Creator (top 5% of his position)
AS Roma
- Wesley RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 72 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 7% of his position)
- Matías Soulé RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 68 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen, 27 · Roma · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 76
Donyell Malen, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Roma in Serie A. Strongest for his role in expected goals and goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 76
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 1.26 / 90 | 98% |
| Goals | 1.57 / 90 | 98% |
| Shots | 5.22 / 90 | 97% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 xG/shot | 93% |
| Key passes | 1.83 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher, High shot volume.
- What Donyell Malen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Donyell Malen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Como vs AS Roma prediction
Como should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.40 for Como and 1.93 for AS Roma - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 65%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Como 1-1 AS Roma
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Como vs AS Roma betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 36%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Serie A previews
- Genoa vs Fiorentina Saturday 10 October 2026
- Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio Saturday 10 October 2026
- Napoli vs Frosinone Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lazio vs Monza Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lecce vs Bologna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Sassuolo vs AC Milan Sunday 11 October 2026
Como vs AS Roma: questions and answers
When is Como vs AS Roma?
Como vs AS Roma is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in Serie A Gameweek 6.
Where is Como vs AS Roma played?
At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Como's home ground.
Who will win Como vs AS Roma?
It is close: Como 36%, draw 28%, AS Roma 36%. Our prediction is Como 1-1 AS Roma.
Who is the player to watch in Como vs AS Roma?
Donyell Malen of Roma: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 76 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Como vs AS Roma?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.