Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Bundesliga · Friday 16 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Eintracht Frankfurt welcome FC Köln to Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt am Main in Bundesliga Gameweek 6 action on Friday 16 October 2026.
Eintracht Frankfurt have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. FC Köln have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Eintracht Frankfurt are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 24% and FC Köln at 30%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5 at 1.98, FC Köln at 1.93. The main goals line is 3.5: over 2.00, under 1.89, which gives over 49%.
Eintracht Frankfurt: form and key numbers
In style Eintracht Frankfurt are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 2.29 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.0).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 49.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
FC Köln: form and key numbers
In style FC Köln create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.99 a match created, 2.10 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln: season averages side by side
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Per match | FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.99 |
| 2.29 | xG conceded | 2.10 |
| 2.25 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 17.0 |
| 4.8 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 49.3 | Pressure share % | 47.2 |
| 14.8 | Tackles | 11.5 |
| 10.3 | Fouls | 10.5 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 4 and 4 measured matches.
Players to watch
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Robin Koch CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 70 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
- Lilian Brassier CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 63 · Reads the game, Hard to dribble past (top 7% of his position)
FC Köln
- Jahmai Simpson-Pusey CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 61 · Hard to dribble past, Duel winner (top 7% of his position)
- Gideon Mensah LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Crosser, Secure passer (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Younes Ebnoutalib
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23 · Eintracht Frankfurt · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 69
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in goals and expected goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 69
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected goals | 0.69 / 90 | 83% |
| Shots | 3.52 / 90 | 73% |
| Key passes | 1.60 / 90 | 73% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Younes Ebnoutalib is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Younes Ebnoutalib's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt should have more of the ball; Eintracht Frankfurt are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals - 2.30 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.87 for FC Köln - with over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 77%. Eintracht Frankfurt have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 FC Köln
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln betting tips
- Tip 1: Eintracht Frankfurt win or draw (double chance) 70% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 79% by the model, 4.18 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 77% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln: questions and answers
When is Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln is on Friday 16 October 2026, in Bundesliga Gameweek 6.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln played?
At Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main, Eintracht Frankfurt's home ground.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Eintracht Frankfurt are the favourites: Eintracht Frankfurt 46%, draw 24%, FC Köln 30%. Our prediction is Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 FC Köln.
Who is the player to watch in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Younes Ebnoutalib of Eintracht Frankfurt: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 79%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.