Levante vs Sevilla Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 8
La Liga · Monday 12 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia · updated 2026-10-10
Levante welcome Sevilla to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia in La Liga Gameweek 8 action on Monday 12 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Levante have played 6 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 3.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Sevilla have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 57% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Levante 36%, the draw 26%, Sevilla 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Levante 1.41, Sevilla 1.44.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.22 a match created, 1.92 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.7).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Sevilla: form and key numbers
In style Sevilla are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.06 a match created, 1.43 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 42.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Levante vs Sevilla: season averages side by side
| Levante | Per match this season | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.22 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.06 |
| 1.92 | xG conceded | 1.43 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.1 |
| 40.0 | Possession % | 42.0 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 3.0 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Levante
- Iván Romero CF · Pressing forward · Moneyball Score 54 · Duel winner, High shot volume (top 18% of his position)
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 52 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 23% of his position)
Sevilla
- Gabriel Suazo LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
- Lucien Agoumé DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 54 · Ball-winner, Long passer (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aïssa Mandi
Aïssa Mandi, 34 · Levante · CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 59
Aïssa Mandi, 34, plays as a centre-back for Levante in La Liga. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and fouls committed. Weakest in blocked shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 62
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 99% |
| Fouls committed | 0.35 / 90 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 88% |
| Long balls | 2.81 / 90 | 64% |
| Interceptions | 1.40 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Disciplined, Secure passer.
- What Aïssa Mandi is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aïssa Mandi's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Levante vs Sevilla prediction
Sevilla should have more of the ball; Levante go long and direct; Sevilla are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.41 for Levante and 1.44 for Sevilla - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Levante 1-1 Sevilla
Levante vs Sevilla betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.84 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 6.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- FC Barcelona vs Getafe Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Osasuna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Valencia Sunday 11 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Club Wednesday 21 October 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
Levante vs Sevilla: questions and answers
When is Levante vs Sevilla?
Levante vs Sevilla is on Monday 12 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 8.
Where is Levante vs Sevilla played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, Levante's home ground.
Who will win Levante vs Sevilla?
It is close: Levante 36%, draw 26%, Sevilla 37%. Our prediction is Levante 1-1 Sevilla.
Who is the player to watch in Levante vs Sevilla?
Aïssa Mandi of Levante: a ball-playing centre-back with a Moneyball Score of 59 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Sevilla?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
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