Racing Santander vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 8
La Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander · updated 2026-10-10
Racing Santander welcome Valencia to Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in Santander in La Liga Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Racing Santander have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 3.0 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Valencia have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 14% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Racing Santander are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 24% and Valencia at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Racing Santander 1.77, Valencia 1.36.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Racing Santander: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 2.20 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.65.
Valencia: form and key numbers
In style Valencia take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.92 a match created, 1.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.5).
- Shots: 10.6 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 47.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Racing Santander vs Valencia: season averages side by side
| Racing Santander | Per match this season | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.92 |
| 2.20 | xG conceded | 1.59 |
| 10.3 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 4.0 | On target | 2.7 |
| 48.0 | Possession % | 47.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 29% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 2.7 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.65 | Average rating | 6.63 |
Players to watch
Racing Santander
- Pablo Ramón CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 61 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
- Jorge Salinas LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
Valencia
- Guido Rodríguez DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 61 · Duel winner, Long passer (top 2% of his position)
- Pepelu DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Long passer, Disciplined (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yassir Zabiri
Yassir Zabiri, 21 · Racing Santander · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 67
Yassir Zabiri, 21, plays as a centre-forward for Racing Santander in La Liga. Strongest for his role in goals and big chances missed. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances missed | 0.00 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected goals | 0.72 / 90 | 88% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 86% |
| Shots on target | 57% | 82% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Rarely wastes a big chance, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Yassir Zabiri is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yassir Zabiri's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction
Racing Santander should have more of the ball; Valencia like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.77 for Racing Santander and 1.36 for Valencia - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 62%. Racing Santander have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Racing Santander 2-1 Valencia
Racing Santander vs Valencia betting tips
- Tip 1: Racing Santander win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.13 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- FC Barcelona vs Getafe Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Osasuna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Levante vs Sevilla Monday 12 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Club Wednesday 21 October 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
Racing Santander vs Valencia: questions and answers
When is Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Racing Santander vs Valencia is on Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 8.
Where is Racing Santander vs Valencia played?
At Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander, Racing Santander's home ground.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Racing Santander are the favourites: Racing Santander 47%, draw 24%, Valencia 29%. Our prediction is Racing Santander 2-1 Valencia.
Who is the player to watch in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Yassir Zabiri of Racing Santander: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.