Real Betis vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 8
La Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla · updated 2026-10-10
Real Betis welcome Osasuna to Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla in Sevilla in La Liga Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Real Betis have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 60% win rate. Osasuna have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Real Betis are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 26% and Osasuna at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Real Betis 1.68, Osasuna 1.00.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 17.4 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 54.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Osasuna: form and key numbers
In style Osasuna are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.19 a match created, 1.35 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 9.3 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 45.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.64.
Real Betis vs Osasuna: season averages side by side
| Real Betis | Per match this season | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.60 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.19 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | 1.35 |
| 17.4 | Shots | 9.3 |
| 6.4 | On target | 3.9 |
| 54.0 | Possession % | 45.6 |
| 57% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 3.0 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.64 |
Players to watch
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 79 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 2% of his position)
- Isco AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Draws fouls (top 3% of his position)
Osasuna
- Alejandro Catena CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 57 · Hard to dribble past, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Abel Bretones LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 41 · Creator, Ball-winner (top 18% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir, 35 · Osasuna · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 74
Ante Budimir, 35, plays as a centre-forward for Osasuna in La Liga. Strongest for his role in duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 74
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.61 / 90 | 97% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 xG/shot | 96% |
| Expected goals | 0.82 / 90 | 94% |
| Shots on target | 61% | 93% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.76 / 90 | 92% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Ante Budimir is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ante Budimir's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction
Real Betis should have more of the ball, with Osasuna likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Real Betis like to take players on; Osasuna are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.68 for Real Betis and 1.00 for Osasuna - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 52%. Real Betis have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna
Real Betis vs Osasuna betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Betis win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- FC Barcelona vs Getafe Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Valencia Sunday 11 October 2026
- Levante vs Sevilla Monday 12 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Club Wednesday 21 October 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
Real Betis vs Osasuna: questions and answers
When is Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Real Betis vs Osasuna is on Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 8.
Where is Real Betis vs Osasuna played?
At Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla, Real Betis's home ground.
Who will win Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Real Betis are the favourites: Real Betis 52%, draw 26%, Osasuna 22%. Our prediction is Real Betis 1-0 Osasuna.
Who is the player to watch in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Ante Budimir of Osasuna: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Betis vs Osasuna?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.