Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers · updated 2026-10-10
Angers SCO welcome Olympique Marseille to Stade Raymond Kopa in Angers in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 action on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Angers SCO have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Olympique Marseille have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Angers SCO are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 24% and Olympique Marseille at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Angers SCO 1.82, Olympique Marseille 1.29.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Angers SCO: form and key numbers
In style Angers SCO play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.62 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.1).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Olympique Marseille: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Marseille keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.65 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.2).
- Shots: 13.2 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 56.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille: season averages side by side
| Angers SCO | Per match this season | Olympique Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.62 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.65 |
| 1.62 | xG conceded | 2.11 |
| 15.0 | Shots | 13.2 |
| 3.0 | On target | 4.8 |
| 51.2 | Possession % | 56.4 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 7.6 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.91 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Angers SCO
- Anthony Lopes GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 79 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 8% of his position)
- Carlens Arcus RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Olympique Marseille
- Emerson LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 69 · Ball circulator, Creator (top 9% of his position)
- CJ Egan-Riley CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 63 · Secure passer, Disciplined (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï, 25 · Angers SCO · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 69
Amine Sbaï, 25, plays as a winger for Angers SCO in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.58 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.63 / 90 | 79% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.26 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected goals | 0.24 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
- What Amine Sbaï is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Amine Sbaï's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille prediction
Olympique Marseille should have more of the ball; Angers SCO work the ball wide and cross; Olympique Marseille like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.82 for Angers SCO and 1.29 for Olympique Marseille - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 61%. Angers SCO have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Angers SCO 2-1 Olympique Marseille
Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille betting tips
- Tip 1: Angers SCO win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.11 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
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- Brest vs Angers SCO Saturday 10 October 2026
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- Le Mans vs Toulouse Friday 16 October 2026
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- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille: questions and answers
When is Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille?
Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille is on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7.
Where is Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille played?
At Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, Angers SCO's home ground.
Who will win Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille?
Angers SCO are the favourites: Angers SCO 49%, draw 24%, Olympique Marseille 26%. Our prediction is Angers SCO 2-1 Olympique Marseille.
Who is the player to watch in Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille?
Amine Sbaï of Angers SCO: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.