Brest vs Angers SCO Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Ligue 1 · Saturday 10 October 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest · updated 2026-10-10
Brest welcome Angers SCO to Stade Francis-Le Ble in Brest in Ligue 1 Gameweek 6 action on Saturday 10 October 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC.
Brest have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Angers SCO have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Brest are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 25% and Angers SCO at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Brest 1.68, Angers SCO 1.27.
- Over 2.5 goals: 56% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Brest: form and key numbers
In style Brest press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.08 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 19.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Angers SCO: form and key numbers
In style Angers SCO play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.62 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.1).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Brest vs Angers SCO: season averages side by side
| Brest | Per match this season | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.16 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 19.2 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 5.8 | On target | 3.0 |
| 46.8 | Possession % | 51.2 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 80% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 7.6 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Brest
- Bradley Locko LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 71 · Duel winner, Crosser (top 7% of his position)
- R. Le Guen CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
Angers SCO
- Anthony Lopes GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 79 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 8% of his position)
- Carlens Arcus RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï, 25 · Angers SCO · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 69
Amine Sbaï, 25, plays as a winger for Angers SCO in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.58 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.63 / 90 | 79% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.26 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected goals | 0.24 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
- What Amine Sbaï is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Amine Sbaï's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brest vs Angers SCO prediction
Angers SCO should have more of the ball; Brest are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Angers SCO work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.68 for Brest and 1.27 for Angers SCO - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 59%. Brest have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Brest 2-1 Angers SCO
Brest vs Angers SCO betting tips
- Tip 1: Brest win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.95 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Brest vs Angers SCO: questions and answers
When is Brest vs Angers SCO?
Brest vs Angers SCO is on Saturday 10 October 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 6.
Where is Brest vs Angers SCO played?
At Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest, Brest's home ground.
Who will win Brest vs Angers SCO?
Brest are the favourites: Brest 47%, draw 25%, Angers SCO 28%. Our prediction is Brest 2-1 Angers SCO.
Who is the player to watch in Brest vs Angers SCO?
Amine Sbaï of Angers SCO: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brest vs Angers SCO?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.