Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Bundesliga · Sunday 18 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome TSG Hoffenheim in Bundesliga Gameweek 6 action on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 4.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. TSG Hoffenheim have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, TSG Hoffenheim are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 29%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5 at 1.94, TSG Hoffenheim at 1.96. The main goals line is 3.5: over 2.01, under 1.88, which gives over 48%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach cross a lot, are strong in the air, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.86 a match created, 3.12 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 16.5 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.56.
TSG Hoffenheim: form and key numbers
In style TSG Hoffenheim keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.83 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 19.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: season averages side by side
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Per match | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.83 |
| 3.12 | xG conceded | 1.66 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 1.75 |
| 16.5 | Shots | 19.0 |
| 4.3 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | 2.8 |
| 36.4 | Pressure share % | 61.2 |
| 15.8 | Tackles | 15.8 |
| 14.8 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 4 and 4 measured matches.
Players to watch
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Philipp Sander DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 53 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
- Moritz Nicolas GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 46 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 4% of his position)
TSG Hoffenheim
- Leon Avdullahu DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 59 · Press-resistant, Disciplined (top 8% of his position)
- Vladimír Coufal RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 58 · Reads the game, Hard to dribble past (top 13% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ozan Kabak
Ozan Kabak, 26 · TSG Hoffenheim · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 66
Ozan Kabak, 26, plays as a centre-back for TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 66
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 6.45 / 90 | 99% |
| Duels won | 7.74 / 90 | 95% |
| Clearances | 8.77 / 90 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 1.55 / 90 | 91% |
| Dribbled past | 0.26 / 90 | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, Box defender.
- What Ozan Kabak is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ozan Kabak's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction
TSG Hoffenheim should have more of the ball, with Borussia Mönchengladbach likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.5 goals - 2.06 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.41 for TSG Hoffenheim - with over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams scoring at 80%. TSG Hoffenheim have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim betting tips
- Tip 1: TSG Hoffenheim win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 82% by the model, 4.47 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 80% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Bundesliga previews
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Saturday 10 October 2026
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Saturday 10 October 2026
- Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Saturday 10 October 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Saturday 10 October 2026
- Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg Saturday 10 October 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln Friday 16 October 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: questions and answers
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim is on Sunday 18 October 2026, in Bundesliga Gameweek 6.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
TSG Hoffenheim are the favourites: Borussia Mönchengladbach 29%, draw 24%, TSG Hoffenheim 46%. Our prediction is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim.
Who is the player to watch in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Ozan Kabak of TSG Hoffenheim: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 82%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.