Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 7
Serie A · Friday 16 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Frosinone welcome Sassuolo to Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone in Serie A Gameweek 7 action on Friday 16 October 2026.
Frosinone have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Sassuolo have played 5 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Frosinone 38%, the draw 26%, Sassuolo 35%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Frosinone -0.25 at 2.14, Sassuolo at 1.78. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.74, under 2.17, which gives over 56%.
Frosinone: form and key numbers
In style Frosinone are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.59 a match created, 2.07 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.0).
- Shots: 16.8 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 41.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.98.
Sassuolo: form and key numbers
In style Sassuolo create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.81 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.0).
- Shots: 17.2 a match, 7.0 on target.
- Possession: 47.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: season averages side by side
| Frosinone | Per match | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.81 |
| 2.07 | xG conceded | 1.47 |
| 1.80 | Goals | 1.80 |
| 16.8 | Shots | 17.2 |
| 5.6 | Shots on target | 7.0 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 2.4 |
| 40.1 | Pressure share % | 51.6 |
| 20.2 | Tackles | 15.6 |
| 17.4 | Fouls | 8.8 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Players to watch
Frosinone
- Lorenzo Palmisani GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 66 · Shot-stopper, Dominant in the air (top 17% of his position)
- Anthony Oyono RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 63 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 8% of his position)
Sassuolo
- Darryl Bakola CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 63 · Ball-winner, Dribbler (top 4% of his position)
- Nemanja Matić DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 16% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Armand Laurienté
Armand Laurienté, 27 · Sassuolo · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 66
Armand Laurienté, 27, plays as a winger for Sassuolo in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 66
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 57
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 3.80 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected goals | 0.35 / 90 | 83% |
| Big chances created | 0.60 / 90 | 80% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 72% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.60 / 90 | 62% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator.
- What Armand Laurienté is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Armand Laurienté's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction
Sassuolo should have more of the ball; Frosinone work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.87 for Frosinone and 1.49 for Sassuolo - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 66%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Frosinone 1-1 Sassuolo
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Frosinone vs Sassuolo betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.36 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Frosinone vs Sassuolo in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Frosinone vs Sassuolo: questions and answers
When is Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Frosinone vs Sassuolo is on Friday 16 October 2026, in Serie A Gameweek 7.
Where is Frosinone vs Sassuolo played?
At Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone, Frosinone's home ground.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
It is close: Frosinone 38%, draw 26%, Sassuolo 35%. Our prediction is Frosinone 1-1 Sassuolo.
Who is the player to watch in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Armand Laurienté of Sassuolo: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.