Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu · updated 2026-10-10
Olympique Lyonnais welcome Nice to Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 action on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC.
Olympique Lyonnais have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.4 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Nice have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Olympique Lyonnais are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 23% and Nice at 13%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Olympique Lyonnais 1.82, Nice 0.70.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 43%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Olympique Lyonnais: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Lyonnais play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 1.01 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 52.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Nice: form and key numbers
In style Nice keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.8).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 56.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice: season averages side by side
| Olympique Lyonnais | Per match this season | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 0.4 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 1.01 | xG conceded | 1.47 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 11.8 |
| 5.0 | On target | 3.0 |
| 52.4 | Possession % | 56.8 |
| 60% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 5.8 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 72 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
- Corentin Tolisso CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 64 · Creator, Reads the game (top 5% of his position)
Nice
- Xavier Mandza DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Disciplined, Ball circulator (top 7% of his position)
- Axel Witsel DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 52 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah, 22 · Olympique Lyonnais · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 69
Ernest Nuamah, 22, plays as a winger for Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 69
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.66 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 4.10 / 90 | 89% |
| Dispossessed | 0.59 / 90 | 81% |
| Big chances created | 0.59 / 90 | 73% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.05 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Press-resistant.
- What Ernest Nuamah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ernest Nuamah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice prediction
Nice should have more of the ball; Olympique Lyonnais go long and direct; Nice press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.82 for Olympique Lyonnais and 0.70 for Nice - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 43%. Olympique Lyonnais have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Olympique Lyonnais 1-0 Nice
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice betting tips
- Tip 1: Olympique Lyonnais to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.52 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (46%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice: questions and answers
When is Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice?
Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice is on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 18:45 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7.
Where is Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice played?
At Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu, Olympique Lyonnais's home ground.
Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice?
Olympique Lyonnais are the favourites: Olympique Lyonnais 64%, draw 23%, Nice 13%. Our prediction is Olympique Lyonnais 1-0 Nice.
Who is the player to watch in Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice?
Ernest Nuamah of Olympique Lyonnais: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.