RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · updated 2026-10-10
RB Leipzig welcome Eintracht Frankfurt to Red Bull Arena in Leipzig in Bundesliga Gameweek 5 action on Saturday 10 October 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
RB Leipzig have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Eintracht Frankfurt have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, RB Leipzig are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 19% and Eintracht Frankfurt at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.53, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.44.
- Over 2.5 goals: 76% · both teams to score: 71%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
RB Leipzig: form and key numbers
In style RB Leipzig keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.09 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 18.8 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 57.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
Eintracht Frankfurt: form and key numbers
In style Eintracht Frankfurt are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 2.29 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.0).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 49.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: season averages side by side
| RB Leipzig | Per match this season | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.5 |
| 2.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | 2.29 |
| 18.8 | Shots | 13.8 |
| 6.3 | On target | 4.8 |
| 57.8 | Possession % | 49.5 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 25% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 6.8 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.99 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Players to watch
RB Leipzig
- Willi Orbán CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 64 · Ball circulator, Disciplined (top 7% of his position)
- Maarten Vandevoordt GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 60 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 17% of his position)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Robin Koch CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 70 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
- Younes Ebnoutalib CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 69 · Clinical finisher, Gets into scoring positions (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa, 21 · RB Leipzig · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 69
Antonio Nusa, 21, plays as a winger for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and big chances created. Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 65
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 3.42 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.79 / 90 | 86% |
| Fouls won | 2.37 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 84% |
| Shots | 2.63 / 90 | 60% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Big-chance creator, Draws fouls.
- What Antonio Nusa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Antonio Nusa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
RB Leipzig should have more of the ball; RB Leipzig work the ball wide and cross; Eintracht Frankfurt are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals - 2.53 for RB Leipzig and 1.44 for Eintracht Frankfurt - with over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 71%. RB Leipzig have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt betting tips
- Tip 1: RB Leipzig to win 61% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 76% by the model, 3.97 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 71% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Friday 23 October 2026
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: questions and answers
When is RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt is on Saturday 10 October 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 5.
Where is RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
At Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, RB Leipzig's home ground.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
RB Leipzig are the favourites: RB Leipzig 61%, draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 20%. Our prediction is RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Who is the player to watch in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Antonio Nusa of RB Leipzig: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 76%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.