VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Bundesliga · Friday 23 October 2026 · 18:30 UTC · MHPArena, Stuttgart · updated 2026-10-10
VfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach to MHPArena in Stuttgart in Bundesliga Gameweek 7 action on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 4 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 4.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, VfB Stuttgart are narrow favourites at 60%, with the draw at 18% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.83, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.76.
- Over 2.5 goals: 84% · both teams to score: 78%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.86 a match created, 2.15 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 15.3 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach cross a lot, are strong in the air, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.86 a match created, 3.12 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 16.5 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.56.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: season averages side by side
| VfB Stuttgart | Per match this season | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 4.0 |
| 1.86 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.86 |
| 2.15 | xG conceded | 3.12 |
| 15.3 | Shots | 16.5 |
| 5.5 | On target | 4.3 |
| 53.0 | Possession % | 47.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 6.5 | Corners | 6.8 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.56 |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Jeff Chabot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Fabian Bredlow GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 57 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Philipp Sander DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 53 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
- Moritz Nicolas GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 46 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 82
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 82
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 78
- LB · Full-back Competent, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.59 / 90 | 99% |
| Accurate crosses | 3.36 / 90 | 95% |
| Key passes | 3.62 / 90 | 95% |
| Interceptions | 2.07 / 90 | 93% |
| Duels won | 5.69 / 90 | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball, with Borussia Mönchengladbach likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.6 goals - 2.83 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.76 for Borussia Mönchengladbach - with over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams scoring at 78%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach betting tips
- Tip 1: VfB Stuttgart to win 60% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 84% by the model, 4.58 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 78% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Bundesliga previews
- Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart Saturday 10 October 2026
- RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Saturday 10 October 2026
- FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Sunday 11 October 2026
- SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 Sunday 11 October 2026
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: questions and answers
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 18:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 7.
Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
At MHPArena, Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart's home ground.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: VfB Stuttgart 60%, draw 18%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 22%. Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Who is the player to watch in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 82 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 84%.
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