Brest vs Angers Prediction and Betting Tips
Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Brest welcome Angers to Stade Francis-Le Ble in Brest in Ligue 1 action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Brest have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Angers have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Brest are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Angers at 26%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Brest -0.5 at 1.95, Angers at 1.95. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.89, under 2.00, which gives over 51%.
Brest: form and key numbers
In style Brest press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.08 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 19.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Angers: form and key numbers
In style Angers play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.62 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.1).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Brest vs Angers: season averages side by side
| Brest | Per match | Angers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.16 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 1.40 | Goals | 1.20 |
| 19.2 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target | 3.0 |
| 2.6 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 59.1 | Pressure share % | 47.9 |
| 19.4 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 15.0 | Fouls | 10.8 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Brest vs Angers: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Brest have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Brest 5, Angers 3 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Brest 1-1 Angers (May 17th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Brest won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Brest | 1 – 1 | Angers |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Angers | 0 – 2 | Brest |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Brest | 2 – 0 | Angers |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Angers | 2 – 0 | Brest |
Players to watch
Brest
- Bradley Locko LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 71 · Duel winner, Crosser (top 7% of his position)
- R. Le Guen CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
Angers
- Anthony Lopes GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 79 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 8% of his position)
- Carlens Arcus RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï, 25 · Angers SCO · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 69
Amine Sbaï, 25, plays as a winger for Angers SCO in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.58 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.63 / 90 | 79% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.26 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected goals | 0.24 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
- What Amine Sbaï is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Amine Sbaï's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brest vs Angers prediction
Angers should have more of the ball; Brest are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Angers work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.68 for Brest and 1.27 for Angers - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 59%. Brest have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Brest 2-1 Angers
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Brest vs Angers betting tips
- Tip 1: Brest win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.95 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Brest vs Angers: questions and answers
When is Brest vs Angers?
Brest vs Angers is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
Where is Brest vs Angers played?
At Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest, Brest's home ground.
Who will win Brest vs Angers?
Brest are the favourites: Brest 47%, draw 28%, Angers 26%. Our prediction is Brest 2-1 Angers.
Who is the player to watch in Brest vs Angers?
Amine Sbaï of Angers SCO: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brest vs Angers?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.