Nice vs Strasbourg Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Nice welcome Strasbourg to Allianz Riviera in Nice in Ligue 1 Gameweek 6 action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Nice have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Strasbourg have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Nice 41%, the draw 27%, Strasbourg 31%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Nice -0.25 at 2.00, Strasbourg at 1.90. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.98, under 1.90, which gives over 49%.
Nice: form and key numbers
In style Nice keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.8).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 56.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Strasbourg: form and key numbers
In style Strasbourg take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 2.09 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 1.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Nice vs Strasbourg: season averages side by side
| Nice | Per match | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 1.47 | xG conceded | 2.09 |
| 0.60 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 11.8 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 3.0 | Shots on target | 4.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 57.0 | Pressure share % | 36.7 |
| 14.4 | Tackles | 15.8 |
| 9.8 | Fouls | 11.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Nice vs Strasbourg: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Nice have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Nice 6, Strasbourg 7 - 3.3 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Strasbourg 3-1 Nice (April 4th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Nice won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Strasbourg | 3 – 1 | Nice |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Nice | 1 – 1 | Strasbourg |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Strasbourg | 2 – 2 | Nice |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Nice | 2 – 1 | Strasbourg |
Players to watch
Nice
- Xavier Mandza DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Disciplined, Ball circulator (top 7% of his position)
- Axel Witsel DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 52 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
Strasbourg
- Filip Jørgensen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 71 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 11% of his position)
- Pape Demba Diop CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine, 20 · Strasbourg · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 64
Gessime Yassine, 20, plays as a winger for Strasbourg in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and fouls won. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 70
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 66
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 3.72 / 90 | 97% |
| Fouls won | 3.10 / 90 | 93% |
| Big chances created | 0.83 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 76% |
| Expected goals | 0.27 / 90 | 66% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Draws fouls, Big-chance creator.
- What Gessime Yassine is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gessime Yassine's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Nice vs Strasbourg prediction
Nice should have more of the ball, with Strasbourg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Nice press high to win the ball back; Strasbourg like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.46 for Nice and 1.36 for Strasbourg - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Nice 1-1 Strasbourg
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Nice vs Strasbourg betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.82 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Lens vs Lyon Saturday 10 October 2026
- Lille vs Le Havre Saturday 10 October 2026
- Brest vs Angers Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lorient vs Paris FC Sunday 11 October 2026
- AS Monaco vs Toulouse Sunday 11 October 2026
- Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Sunday 11 October 2026
Nice vs Strasbourg: questions and answers
When is Nice vs Strasbourg?
Nice vs Strasbourg is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 6.
Where is Nice vs Strasbourg played?
At Allianz Riviera, Nice, Nice's home ground.
Who will win Nice vs Strasbourg?
It is close: Nice 41%, draw 27%, Strasbourg 31%. Our prediction is Nice 1-1 Strasbourg.
Who is the player to watch in Nice vs Strasbourg?
Gessime Yassine of Strasbourg: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Strasbourg?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.