Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 3
Champions League · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-10
Fenerbahçe welcome Slavia Praha to Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in İstanbul in Champions League Gameweek 3 action on Tuesday 20 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Fenerbahçe have played 7 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Slavia Praha have played 1 match in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 3.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Fenerbahçe are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 22% and Slavia Praha at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Fenerbahçe 2.00, Slavia Praha 0.84.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 1 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Fenerbahçe: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 55.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.98.
Slavia Praha: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 18.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 37.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches.
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: season averages side by side
| Fenerbahçe | Per match this season | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 1 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 0.6 | Goals conceded | 3.0 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 18.0 |
| 5.9 | On target | 5.0 |
| 55.4 | Possession % | 37.0 |
| 43% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | – |
| 6.98 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 2.00 for Fenerbahçe and 0.84 for Slavia Praha - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 50%. Fenerbahçe have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Fenerbahçe 2-0 Slavia Praha
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha betting tips
- Tip 1: Fenerbahçe to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.84 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: questions and answers
When is Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha is on Tuesday 20 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 3.
Where is Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha played?
At Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, İstanbul, Fenerbahçe's home ground.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
Fenerbahçe are the favourites: Fenerbahçe 64%, draw 22%, Slavia Praha 14%. Our prediction is Fenerbahçe 2-0 Slavia Praha.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.