Sabah vs Slavia Praha Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 2
Champions League · Tuesday 13 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Azərsun Arena, Baku · updated 2026-10-10
Sabah welcome Slavia Praha to Azərsun Arena in Baku in Champions League Gameweek 2 action on Tuesday 13 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Sabah have played 9 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. Slavia Praha have played 1 match in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 3.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sabah are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 23% and Slavia Praha at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sabah 2.00, Slavia Praha 1.24.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 1 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sabah: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.01 a match created (goals minus xG: +8.9).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 52.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Slavia Praha: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 18.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 37.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches.
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Sabah vs Slavia Praha: season averages side by side
| Sabah | Per match this season | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 1 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 3.0 |
| 1.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 16.0 | Shots | 18.0 |
| 5.6 | On target | 5.0 |
| 52.4 | Possession % | 37.0 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | – |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Sabah vs Slavia Praha prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 2.00 for Sabah and 1.24 for Slavia Praha - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 62%. Sabah have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sabah 2-1 Slavia Praha
Sabah vs Slavia Praha betting tips
- Tip 1: Sabah win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.23 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Sabah vs Slavia Praha: questions and answers
When is Sabah vs Slavia Praha?
Sabah vs Slavia Praha is on Tuesday 13 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 2.
Where is Sabah vs Slavia Praha played?
At Azərsun Arena, Baku, Sabah's home ground.
Who will win Sabah vs Slavia Praha?
Sabah are the favourites: Sabah 54%, draw 23%, Slavia Praha 23%. Our prediction is Sabah 2-1 Slavia Praha.
How many goals will there be in Sabah vs Slavia Praha?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.