Viking vs FC Bayern München Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 2
Champions League · Tuesday 13 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger · updated 2026-10-10
Viking welcome FC Bayern München to SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger in Champions League Gameweek 2 action on Tuesday 13 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Viking have played 3 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. FC Bayern München have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 3.5 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 75% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, FC Bayern München are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Viking at 16%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Viking 1.14, FC Bayern München 2.39.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Viking: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created (goals minus xG: +2.6).
- Shots: 9.3 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 38.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
FC Bayern München: form and key numbers
In style FC Bayern München keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.51 a match created, 0.69 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.0).
- Shots: 21.8 a match, 8.8 on target.
- Possession: 70.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 9.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.25.
Viking vs FC Bayern München: season averages side by side
| Viking | Per match this season | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 3.5 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.51 |
| – | xG conceded | 0.69 |
| 9.3 | Shots | 21.8 |
| 4.7 | On target | 8.8 |
| 38.3 | Possession % | 70.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 9.5 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 7.25 |
Players to watch
FC Bayern München
- Alphonso Davies LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 64 · Dribbler, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Dayot Upamecano CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Ball circulator, Duel winner (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Michael Olise
Michael Olise, 24 · FC Bayern München · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 89
Michael Olise, 24, plays as a winger for FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 89
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 85
- SS · Second striker Competent, 79
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.46 / 90 | 95% |
| Shots | 5.05 / 90 | 95% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.08 / 90 | 94% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.27 / 90 | 90% |
| Expected goals | 0.48 / 90 | 90% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Creator, High shot volume, Crosser.
- What Michael Olise is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Michael Olise's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Viking vs FC Bayern München prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.14 for Viking and 2.39 for FC Bayern München - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 62%. FC Bayern München have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Viking 1-2 FC Bayern München
Viking vs FC Bayern München betting tips
- Tip 1: FC Bayern München to win 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 69% by the model, 3.53 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Champions League previews
- Sabah vs Slavia Praha Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Lens vs Sporting CP Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Arsenal vs LOSC Lille Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Inter vs Club Brugge Tuesday 13 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Napoli Tuesday 13 October 2026
- RB Leipzig vs PSV Tuesday 13 October 2026
Viking vs FC Bayern München: questions and answers
When is Viking vs FC Bayern München?
Viking vs FC Bayern München is on Tuesday 13 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 2.
Where is Viking vs FC Bayern München played?
At SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger, Viking's home ground.
Who will win Viking vs FC Bayern München?
FC Bayern München are the favourites: Viking 16%, draw 19%, FC Bayern München 64%. Our prediction is Viking 1-2 FC Bayern München.
Who is the player to watch in Viking vs FC Bayern München?
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 89 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs FC Bayern München?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.