Feyenoord vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 2
Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-10-10
Feyenoord welcome Como to Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam in Champions League Gameweek 2 action on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Feyenoord have played 1 match in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 5.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Como have played 5 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Como are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 21% and Feyenoord at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 1.42, Como 2.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 71% · both teams to score: 68%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (1 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.61 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 4.0 a match, 2.0 on target.
- Possession: 28.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches.
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 1.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.33.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.90 a match created, 1.68 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.5).
- Shots: 23.4 a match, 7.2 on target.
- Possession: 61.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.02.
Feyenoord vs Como: season averages side by side
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 5.0 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 0.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.90 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.68 |
| 4.0 | Shots | 23.4 |
| 2.0 | On target | 7.2 |
| 28.0 | Possession % | 61.6 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 1.0 | Corners | 8.0 |
| 1.0 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
| 6.33 | Average rating | 7.02 |
Players to watch
Como
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 77 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 5% of his position)
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 69 · Reads the game, Ball circulator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Assane Diao
Assane Diao, 21 · Como · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 74
Assane Diao, 21, plays as a winger for Como in Serie A. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 74
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 70
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 70
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.46 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.38 / 90 | 89% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.93 / 90 | 88% |
| Dispossessed | 0.53 / 90 | 86% |
| Big chances created | 0.53 / 90 | 71% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Dribbler.
- What Assane Diao is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Assane Diao's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Feyenoord vs Como prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals - 1.42 for Feyenoord and 2.28 for Como - with over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 68%. Como have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Feyenoord 1-2 Como
Feyenoord vs Como betting tips
- Tip 1: Como to win 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 71% by the model, 3.70 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 1.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Feyenoord vs Como: questions and answers
When is Feyenoord vs Como?
Feyenoord vs Como is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 2.
Where is Feyenoord vs Como played?
At Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Feyenoord's home ground.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Como?
Como are the favourites: Feyenoord 23%, draw 21%, Como 56%. Our prediction is Feyenoord 1-2 Como.
Who is the player to watch in Feyenoord vs Como?
Assane Diao of Como: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Como?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.