KuPS vs Trabzonspor Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 1
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio · updated 2026-10-10
KuPS welcome Trabzonspor to Savon Sanomat Areena in Kuopio in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
KuPS have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Trabzonspor have played 2 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 0.0 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, KuPS are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 26% and Trabzonspor at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: KuPS 1.65, Trabzonspor 1.00.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
KuPS: form and key numbers
- Shots: 8.8 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 49.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.34.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
KuPS vs Trabzonspor: season averages side by side
| KuPS | Per match this season | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 2 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 0.0 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 2.5 |
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 0.93 |
| 8.8 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 3.3 | On target | 2.5 |
| 49.5 | Possession % | 49.0 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 25% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 6.0 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.34 | Average rating | 6.82 |
KuPS vs Trabzonspor prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.65 for KuPS and 1.00 for Trabzonspor - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 52%. KuPS have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: KuPS 1-0 Trabzonspor
KuPS vs Trabzonspor betting tips
- Tip 1: KuPS win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.66 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Thursday 15 October 2026
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Thursday 15 October 2026
- Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe Thursday 15 October 2026
KuPS vs Trabzonspor: questions and answers
When is KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
KuPS vs Trabzonspor is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1.
Where is KuPS vs Trabzonspor played?
At Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio, KuPS's home ground.
Who will win KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
KuPS are the favourites: KuPS 52%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 22%. Our prediction is KuPS 1-0 Trabzonspor.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.