Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 1
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis, Athens · updated 2026-10-10
Panathinaikos welcome Borac Banja Luka to Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis in Athens in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Panathinaikos have played 6 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Borac Banja Luka have played 6 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Borac Banja Luka are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 24% and Panathinaikos at 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Panathinaikos 1.55, Borac Banja Luka 1.77.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Panathinaikos: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.43 a match created (goals minus xG: +2.4).
- Shots: 16.5 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Borac Banja Luka: form and key numbers
- Shots: 7.7 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.42.
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: season averages side by side
| Panathinaikos | Per match this season | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.43 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 16.5 | Shots | 7.7 |
| 7.3 | On target | 5.3 |
| 51.8 | Possession % | 47.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 6.7 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.42 |
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.55 for Panathinaikos and 1.77 for Borac Banja Luka - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%. Borac Banja Luka have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Panathinaikos 1-2 Borac Banja Luka
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka betting tips
- Tip 1: Borac Banja Luka win or draw (double chance) 67% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.31 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: questions and answers
When is Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1.
Where is Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka played?
At Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis, Athens, Panathinaikos's home ground.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
Borac Banja Luka are the favourites: Panathinaikos 33%, draw 24%, Borac Banja Luka 43%. Our prediction is Panathinaikos 1-2 Borac Banja Luka.
How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.