Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 1
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Strandvallen, Sölvesborg · updated 2026-10-10
Mjällby welcome Inter Club d'Escaldes to Strandvallen in Sölvesborg in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Mjällby have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Inter Club d'Escaldes have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Inter Club d'Escaldes are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 30% and Mjällby at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Mjällby 0.88, Inter Club d'Escaldes 1.33.
- Over 2.5 goals: 38% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 0–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Mjällby: form and key numbers
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.40.
Inter Club d'Escaldes: form and key numbers
- Shots: 6.8 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 75% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.49.
Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: season averages side by side
| Mjällby | Per match this season | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 6.8 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.3 |
| 53.8 | Possession % | 45.5 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 75% |
| 25% | Both teams scored % | 25% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 3.5 |
| 6.40 | Average rating | 6.49 |
Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 0.88 for Mjällby and 1.33 for Inter Club d'Escaldes - with over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 44%. Inter Club d'Escaldes have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Mjällby 0-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes
Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes betting tips
- Tip 1: Inter Club d'Escaldes win or draw (double chance) 76% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 2.20 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: questions and answers
When is Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1.
Where is Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes played?
At Strandvallen, Sölvesborg, Mjällby's home ground.
Who will win Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Inter Club d'Escaldes are the favourites: Mjällby 24%, draw 30%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 46%. Our prediction is Mjällby 0-1 Inter Club d'Escaldes.
How many goals will there be in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.