LASK vs Liverpool Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 2
Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Raiffeisen Arena · updated 2026-10-10
LASK welcome Liverpool to Raiffeisen Arena in Champions League Gameweek 2 action on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
LASK have played 3 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. Liverpool have played 5 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: LASK 39%, the draw 25%, Liverpool 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: LASK 1.57, Liverpool 1.50.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (3 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
LASK: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.28 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 23.7 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Liverpool: form and key numbers
In style Liverpool keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.84 a match created, 1.32 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 59.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
LASK vs Liverpool: season averages side by side
| LASK | Per match this season | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 2.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.84 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.32 |
| 23.7 | Shots | 15.2 |
| 6.3 | On target | 4.8 |
| 45.0 | Possession % | 59.0 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 60% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.94 | Average rating | 6.93 |
Players to watch
Liverpool
- Jérémy Jacquet FB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
- Virgil van Dijk CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Long passer, Ball circulator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak, 27 · Liverpool · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64
Alexander Isak, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Liverpool in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.73 / 90 | 91% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 89% |
| Goals | 0.87 / 90 | 87% |
| Shots | 3.25 / 90 | 75% |
| Shots on target | 47% | 65% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Takes high-quality shots, Clinical finisher.
- What Alexander Isak is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexander Isak's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
LASK vs Liverpool prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.57 for LASK and 1.50 for Liverpool - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: LASK 1-1 Liverpool
LASK vs Liverpool betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.07 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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LASK vs Liverpool: questions and answers
When is LASK vs Liverpool?
LASK vs Liverpool is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 2.
Where is LASK vs Liverpool played?
At Raiffeisen Arena, LASK's home ground.
Who will win LASK vs Liverpool?
It is close: LASK 39%, draw 25%, Liverpool 36%. Our prediction is LASK 1-1 Liverpool.
Who is the player to watch in LASK vs Liverpool?
Alexander Isak of Liverpool: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in LASK vs Liverpool?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.