Real Betis vs Porto Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 2
Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla · updated 2026-10-10
Real Betis welcome Porto to Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla in Sevilla in Champions League Gameweek 2 action on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Real Betis have played 7 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 60% win rate. Porto have played 1 match in the Champions League this season, scoring 0.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Real Betis are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 25% and Porto at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Real Betis 1.70, Porto 0.99.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 1 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.2).
- Shots: 17.4 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 54.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Porto: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.30 a match created (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 5.0 a match, 0.0 on target.
- Possession: 36.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches.
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.60.
Real Betis vs Porto: season averages side by side
| Real Betis | Per match this season | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 1 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 0.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.60 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.30 |
| 1.64 | xG conceded | – |
| 17.4 | Shots | 5.0 |
| 6.4 | On target | 0.0 |
| 54.0 | Possession % | 36.0 |
| 57% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 4.7 | Corners | 2.0 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.60 |
Players to watch
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 79 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 2% of his position)
- Marc Roca DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 65 · Secure passer, Ball-winner (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Isco
Isco, 34 · Real Betis · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 66
Isco, 34, plays as an attacking midfielder for Real Betis in La Liga. Strongest for his role in key passes and fouls won. Weakest in big chances created. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 66
- LW · Winger Competent, 60
- RW · Winger Competent, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 4.13 / 90 | 97% |
| Fouls won | 2.75 / 90 | 93% |
| Dispossessed | 0.55 / 90 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 83% |
| Shots | 3.03 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★½ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Draws fouls, Press-resistant.
- What Isco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Real Betis vs Porto prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.70 for Real Betis and 0.99 for Porto - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 52%. Real Betis have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Real Betis 1-0 Porto
Real Betis vs Porto betting tips
- Tip 1: Real Betis win or draw (double chance) 79% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.70 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 6.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Real Betis vs Porto: questions and answers
When is Real Betis vs Porto?
Real Betis vs Porto is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 2.
Where is Real Betis vs Porto played?
At Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla, Sevilla, Real Betis's home ground.
Who will win Real Betis vs Porto?
Real Betis are the favourites: Real Betis 53%, draw 25%, Porto 21%. Our prediction is Real Betis 1-0 Porto.
Who is the player to watch in Real Betis vs Porto?
Isco of Real Betis: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Real Betis vs Porto?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.