Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Rennes welcome Auxerre to Roazhon Park in Rennes in Ligue 1 Gameweek 6 action on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Rennes have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Auxerre have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Rennes are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 20% and Auxerre at 15%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Rennes -1.25 at 1.90, Auxerre at 2.00. The main goals line is 3.25: over 2.03, under 1.85, which gives over 48%.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.04 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 51.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Auxerre: form and key numbers
In style Auxerre are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 1.89 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 45.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Rennes vs Auxerre: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.33 |
| 2.04 | xG conceded | 1.89 |
| 1.60 | Goals | 1.40 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 5.4 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 3.0 | Big chances missed | 1.6 |
| 47.0 | Pressure share % | 41.8 |
| 16.0 | Tackles | 14.0 |
| 13.2 | Fouls | 14.6 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 5 measured matches.
Rennes vs Auxerre: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Rennes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Rennes 5, Auxerre 7 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Auxerre 0-3 Rennes (February 22nd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Rennes won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 0 – 3 | Rennes |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 2 – 2 | Auxerre |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Rennes | 0 – 1 | Auxerre |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Auxerre | 4 – 0 | Rennes |
Players to watch
Rennes
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Adrien Thomasson CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
Auxerre
- Danny Namaso LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 45 · Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator (top 21% of his position)
- Kévin Danois DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 43 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20 · Rennes · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20, plays as a centre-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 76
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.33 / 90 | 94% |
| Interceptions | 2.33 / 90 | 87% |
| Duels won | 6.67 / 90 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 1.33 / 90 | 80% |
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs Auxerre prediction
Rennes should have more of the ball, with Auxerre likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rennes work the ball wide and cross; Auxerre like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals - 2.20 for Rennes and 1.51 for Auxerre - with over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 70%. Rennes have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rennes 2-1 Auxerre
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Rennes vs Auxerre betting tips
- Tip 1: Rennes to win 66% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 72% by the model, 3.71 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Lens vs Lyon Saturday 10 October 2026
- Lille vs Le Havre Saturday 10 October 2026
- Brest vs Angers Sunday 11 October 2026
- Lorient vs Paris FC Sunday 11 October 2026
- AS Monaco vs Toulouse Sunday 11 October 2026
- Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Sunday 11 October 2026
Rennes vs Auxerre: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs Auxerre?
Rennes vs Auxerre is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 6.
Where is Rennes vs Auxerre played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs Auxerre?
Rennes are the favourites: Rennes 66%, draw 20%, Auxerre 15%. Our prediction is Rennes 2-1 Auxerre.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs Auxerre?
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal of Rennes: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Auxerre?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.