Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 2
Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava · updated 2026-10-10
Slovan Bratislava welcome VfB Stuttgart to Štadión Tehelné pole in Bratislava in Champions League Gameweek 2 action on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Slovan Bratislava have played 7 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate. VfB Stuttgart have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Slovan Bratislava are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 25% and VfB Stuttgart at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 1.69, VfB Stuttgart 1.43.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Slovan Bratislava: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.55 a match created (goals minus xG: +7.2).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 42.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.59.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.86 a match created, 2.15 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 15.3 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 53.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: season averages side by side
| Slovan Bratislava | Per match this season | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 0.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.86 |
| – | xG conceded | 2.15 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 15.3 |
| 4.4 | On target | 5.5 |
| 42.9 | Possession % | 53.0 |
| 29% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 3.1 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.59 | Average rating | 6.82 |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Jeff Chabot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Fabian Bredlow GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 57 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 82
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 82
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 78
- LB · Full-back Competent, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.59 / 90 | 99% |
| Accurate crosses | 3.36 / 90 | 95% |
| Key passes | 3.62 / 90 | 95% |
| Interceptions | 2.07 / 90 | 93% |
| Duels won | 5.69 / 90 | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.69 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.43 for VfB Stuttgart - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. Slovan Bratislava have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart betting tips
- Tip 1: Slovan Bratislava win or draw (double chance) 68% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart: questions and answers
When is Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart is on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 2.
Where is Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart played?
At Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava, Slovan Bratislava's home ground.
Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Slovan Bratislava are the favourites: Slovan Bratislava 43%, draw 25%, VfB Stuttgart 32%. Our prediction is Slovan Bratislava 2-1 VfB Stuttgart.
Who is the player to watch in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 82 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.