AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 2
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Vejlby Stadion, Risskov · updated 2026-10-10
AGF welcome Egnatia Rrogozhinë to Vejlby Stadion in Risskov in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
AGF have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Egnatia Rrogozhinë are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 18% and AGF at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: AGF 1.83, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2.85.
- Over 2.5 goals: 85% · both teams to score: 79%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
AGF: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 47.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form and key numbers
- Shots: 9.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.33.
AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: season averages side by side
| AGF | Per match this season | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 12.3 | Shots | 9.5 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.3 |
| 47.0 | Possession % | 47.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.33 |
AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 4.7 goals - 1.83 for AGF and 2.85 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë - with over 2.5 goals at 85% and both teams scoring at 79%. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: AGF 1-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë betting tips
- Tip 1: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win 59% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 85% by the model, 4.68 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 79% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
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AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: questions and answers
When is AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2.
Where is AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?
At Vejlby Stadion, Risskov, AGF's home ground.
Who will win AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë are the favourites: AGF 23%, draw 18%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 59%. Our prediction is AGF 1-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
How many goals will there be in AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 85%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.