Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 3
Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-10
Beşiktaş welcome Crystal Palace to Beşiktaş Stadium in İstanbul in Europa League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Beşiktaş have played 7 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 goals a game and winning 86% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. Crystal Palace have played 5 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Beşiktaş are clear favourites at 78%, with the draw at 16% and Crystal Palace at 6%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Beşiktaş 2.38, Crystal Palace 0.55.
- Over 2.5 goals: 56% · both teams to score: 39%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (15%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Beşiktaş: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.45 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 17.9 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 62.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 71% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 14% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.08 a match created, 2.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 10.6 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 43.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: season averages side by side
| Beşiktaş | Per match this season | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 0.3 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.08 |
| – | xG conceded | 2.25 |
| 17.9 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 4.9 | On target | 3.6 |
| 62.0 | Possession % | 43.4 |
| 71% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 14% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 2.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 7.08 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Crystal Palace
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 12% of his position)
- Chris Richards CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Disciplined, Blocks shots (top 13% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino, 23 · Crystal Palace · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54
Yéremy Pino, 23, plays as a winger for Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in big chances created and expected assists (est.). Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 54
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 53
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 0.87 / 90 | 91% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 85% |
| Fouls won | 2.03 / 90 | 78% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.16 / 90 | 72% |
| Dispossessed | 0.87 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator, Creator.
- What Yéremy Pino is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yéremy Pino's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 2.38 for Beşiktaş and 0.55 for Crystal Palace - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 39%. Beşiktaş have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Beşiktaş 2-0 Crystal Palace
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace betting tips
- Tip 1: Beşiktaş to win 78% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.92 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa League previews
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Thursday 15 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Thursday 15 October 2026
- Torreense vs Sunderland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 15 October 2026
- Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Thursday 15 October 2026
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Thursday 15 October 2026
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Thursday 15 October 2026
- Salzburg vs AC Milan Thursday 15 October 2026
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
When is Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 3.
Where is Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace played?
At Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul, Beşiktaş's home ground.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
Beşiktaş are the favourites: Beşiktaş 78%, draw 16%, Crystal Palace 6%. Our prediction is Beşiktaş 2-0 Crystal Palace.
Who is the player to watch in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
Yéremy Pino of Crystal Palace: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.