Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 2
Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu · updated 2026-10-10
Olympique Lyonnais welcome Crystal Palace to Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu in Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Olympique Lyonnais have played 5 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.4 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Crystal Palace have played 5 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Olympique Lyonnais are clear favourites at 76%, with the draw at 15% and Crystal Palace at 9%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Olympique Lyonnais 2.66, Crystal Palace 0.82.
- Over 2.5 goals: 67% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Olympique Lyonnais: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Lyonnais play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 1.01 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 52.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.08 a match created, 2.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 10.6 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 43.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace: season averages side by side
| Olympique Lyonnais | Per match this season | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 0.4 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.08 |
| 1.01 | xG conceded | 2.25 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 5.0 | On target | 3.6 |
| 52.4 | Possession % | 43.4 |
| 60% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 2.4 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 72 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
- Corentin Tolisso CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 64 · Creator, Reads the game (top 5% of his position)
Crystal Palace
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 12% of his position)
- Yéremy Pino LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah, 22 · Olympique Lyonnais · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 69
Ernest Nuamah, 22, plays as a winger for Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 69
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.66 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 4.10 / 90 | 89% |
| Dispossessed | 0.59 / 90 | 81% |
| Big chances created | 0.59 / 90 | 73% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.05 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Press-resistant.
- What Ernest Nuamah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ernest Nuamah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace prediction
Olympique Lyonnais should have more of the ball, with Crystal Palace likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Olympique Lyonnais go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 2.66 for Olympique Lyonnais and 0.82 for Crystal Palace - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 52%. Olympique Lyonnais have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 Crystal Palace
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace betting tips
- Tip 1: Olympique Lyonnais to win 76% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 67% by the model, 3.47 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
When is Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?
Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace played?
At Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu, Olympique Lyonnais's home ground.
Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?
Olympique Lyonnais are the favourites: Olympique Lyonnais 76%, draw 15%, Crystal Palace 9%. Our prediction is Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 Crystal Palace.
Who is the player to watch in Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?
Ernest Nuamah of Olympique Lyonnais: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.