Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 2
Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Z'dežele, Celje · updated 2026-10-10
Celje welcome Omonia Nicosia to Stadion Z'dežele in Celje in Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Celje have played 6 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Omonia Nicosia have played 5 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Celje 30%, the draw 29%, Omonia Nicosia 41%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Celje 1.06, Omonia Nicosia 1.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 41% · both teams to score: 48%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Celje: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.66 a match created (goals minus xG: +6.0).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 3.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.50.
Omonia Nicosia: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.75 a match created (goals minus xG: +3.2).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia: season averages side by side
| Celje | Per match this season | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 0.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.75 |
| 11.0 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.4 |
| 57.3 | Possession % | 50.0 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 3.3 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.50 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.06 for Celje and 1.28 for Omonia Nicosia - with over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 48%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Celje 1-1 Omonia Nicosia
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 2.34 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa League previews
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Thursday 15 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Thursday 15 October 2026
- Torreense vs Sunderland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 15 October 2026
- Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Thursday 15 October 2026
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Thursday 15 October 2026
- Salzburg vs AC Milan Thursday 15 October 2026
- Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht Thursday 15 October 2026
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia: questions and answers
When is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia played?
At Stadion Z'dežele, Celje, Celje's home ground.
Who will win Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
It is close: Celje 30%, draw 29%, Omonia Nicosia 41%. Our prediction is Celje 1-1 Omonia Nicosia.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.