Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 1
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Brann Stadion, Bergen · updated 2026-10-10
Brann welcome Lincoln Red Imps to Brann Stadion in Bergen in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Brann have played 6 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Lincoln Red Imps have played 4 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Brann 40%, the draw 29%, Lincoln Red Imps 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Brann 1.33, Lincoln Red Imps 1.14.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Brann: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.20 a match created (goals minus xG: +11.8).
- Shots: 3.3 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 58.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.44.
Lincoln Red Imps: form and key numbers
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 36.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.38.
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps: season averages side by side
| Brann | Per match this season | Lincoln Red Imps |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.2 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 0.20 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 3.3 | Shots | 9.8 |
| 3.3 | On target | 4.5 |
| 58.7 | Possession % | 36.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.44 | Average rating | 6.38 |
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.33 for Brann and 1.14 for Lincoln Red Imps - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Brann 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.47 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps: questions and answers
When is Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 1.
Where is Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps played?
At Brann Stadion, Bergen, Brann's home ground.
Who will win Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
It is close: Brann 40%, draw 29%, Lincoln Red Imps 31%. Our prediction is Brann 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps.
How many goals will there be in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.