Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 2
Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb · updated 2026-10-10
Dinamo Zagreb welcome Anderlecht to Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb in Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Dinamo Zagreb have played 6 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Anderlecht have played 7 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 71% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Dinamo Zagreb 36%, the draw 26%, Anderlecht 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Dinamo Zagreb 1.45, Anderlecht 1.52.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Dinamo Zagreb: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.38 a match created (goals minus xG: +5.7).
- Shots: 19.3 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 60.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Anderlecht: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.98 a match created (goals minus xG: +8.2).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: season averages side by side
| Dinamo Zagreb | Per match this season | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 7 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.98 |
| 19.3 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 5.5 | On target | 5.4 |
| 60.3 | Possession % | 46.0 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 57% |
| 7.5 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.70 |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.45 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.52 for Anderlecht - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Anderlecht
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.97 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: questions and answers
When is Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht played?
At Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb, Dinamo Zagreb's home ground.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
It is close: Dinamo Zagreb 36%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 39%. Our prediction is Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Anderlecht.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.