Ferencvárosi vs Torreense Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 3
Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Groupama Aréna, Budapest · updated 2026-10-10
Ferencvárosi welcome Torreense to Groupama Aréna in Budapest in Europa League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Ferencvárosi have played 9 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 78% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. Torreense have played 1 match in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Ferencvárosi are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 27% and Torreense at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Ferencvárosi 1.57, Torreense 0.83.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 45%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 1 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Ferencvárosi: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created (goals minus xG: +9.1).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Torreense: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 33.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.0 a match.
- Discipline: 4.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense: season averages side by side
| Ferencvárosi | Per match this season | Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 1 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.61 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 3.7 | On target | 3.0 |
| 46.2 | Possession % | 33.0 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 2.0 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 4.0 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.57 for Ferencvárosi and 0.83 for Torreense - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 45%. Ferencvárosi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Ferencvárosi 1-0 Torreense
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense betting tips
- Tip 1: Ferencvárosi win or draw (double chance) 81% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.40 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa League previews
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Thursday 15 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Thursday 15 October 2026
- Torreense vs Sunderland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 15 October 2026
- Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Thursday 15 October 2026
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Thursday 15 October 2026
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Thursday 15 October 2026
- Salzburg vs AC Milan Thursday 15 October 2026
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense: questions and answers
When is Ferencvárosi vs Torreense?
Ferencvárosi vs Torreense is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 3.
Where is Ferencvárosi vs Torreense played?
At Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Ferencvárosi's home ground.
Who will win Ferencvárosi vs Torreense?
Ferencvárosi are the favourites: Ferencvárosi 54%, draw 27%, Torreense 19%. Our prediction is Ferencvárosi 1-0 Torreense.
How many goals will there be in Ferencvárosi vs Torreense?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.