Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 2
Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Groupama Aréna, Budapest · updated 2026-10-10
Ferencvárosi welcome Viktoria Plzeň to Groupama Aréna in Budapest in Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Ferencvárosi have played 9 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 78% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. Viktoria Plzeň have played 3 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Ferencvárosi are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 19% and Viktoria Plzeň at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Ferencvárosi 2.32, Viktoria Plzeň 1.00.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Ferencvárosi: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created (goals minus xG: +9.1).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Viktoria Plzeň: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.48 a match created (goals minus xG: -2.5).
- Shots: 20.3 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň: season averages side by side
| Ferencvárosi | Per match this season | Viktoria Plzeň |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 3 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 0.7 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.48 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 20.3 |
| 3.7 | On target | 7.3 |
| 46.2 | Possession % | 51.3 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.63 |
Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.32 for Ferencvárosi and 1.00 for Viktoria Plzeň - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 57%. Ferencvárosi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Ferencvárosi 2-0 Viktoria Plzeň
Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň betting tips
- Tip 1: Ferencvárosi to win 66% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.32 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň: questions and answers
When is Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň?
Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň played?
At Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Ferencvárosi's home ground.
Who will win Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň?
Ferencvárosi are the favourites: Ferencvárosi 66%, draw 19%, Viktoria Plzeň 14%. Our prediction is Ferencvárosi 2-0 Viktoria Plzeň.
How many goals will there be in Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.