Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 2
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou · updated 2026-10-10
Jablonec welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Stadion Střelnice in Jablonec nad Nisou in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Jablonec have played 6 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 75% win rate. Brighton & Hove Albion have played 5 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 60% of them. Away from home they average 4.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Jablonec 35%, the draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Jablonec 1.39, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.47.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Jablonec: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.87 a match created (goals minus xG: +3.8).
- Shots: 7.7 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 46.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.55.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.18 a match created, 1.74 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.1).
- Shots: 19.0 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 64.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion: season averages side by side
| Jablonec | Per match this season | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 3.2 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 0.87 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.18 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.74 |
| 7.7 | Shots | 19.0 |
| 3.5 | On target | 5.8 |
| 46.3 | Possession % | 64.6 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 60% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.55 | Average rating | 7.03 |
Players to watch
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Pascal Groß CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Bart Verbruggen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 61 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 19% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper, 25 · Brighton & Hove Albion · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 60
Maxim De Cuyper, 25, plays as a wing-back for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 60
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 58
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.25 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.54 / 90 | 89% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.69 / 90 | 81% |
| Dribbled past | 0.42 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator, Crosser.
- What Maxim De Cuyper is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maxim De Cuyper's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.39 for Jablonec and 1.47 for Brighton & Hove Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Jablonec 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.87 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions and answers
When is Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2.
Where is Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion played?
At Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou, Jablonec's home ground.
Who will win Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
It is close: Jablonec 35%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 39%. Our prediction is Jablonec 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Maxim De Cuyper of Brighton & Hove Albion: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.