Rennes vs OFI Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa League Gameweek 2
Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes · updated 2026-10-10
Rennes welcome OFI to Roazhon Park in Rennes in Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Rennes have played 5 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. OFI have played 3 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.0 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, OFI are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 26% and Rennes at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rennes 0.90, OFI 1.68.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.04 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 51.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
OFI: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.89 a match created (goals minus xG: +4.3).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 100% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Rennes vs OFI: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match this season | OFI |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 3 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 0.0 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.89 |
| 2.04 | xG conceded | – |
| 16.2 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 5.4 | On target | 4.7 |
| 51.0 | Possession % | 40.7 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 100% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Rennes
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Adrien Thomasson CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20 · Rennes · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20, plays as a centre-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 76
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 67
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.33 / 90 | 94% |
| Interceptions | 2.33 / 90 | 87% |
| Duels won | 6.67 / 90 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 1.33 / 90 | 80% |
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs OFI prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 0.90 for Rennes and 1.68 for OFI - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 49%. OFI have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Rennes 0-1 OFI
Rennes vs OFI betting tips
- Tip 1: OFI to win 55% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.58 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Rennes vs OFI: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs OFI?
Rennes vs OFI is on Thursday 15 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Rennes vs OFI played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs OFI?
OFI are the favourites: Rennes 19%, draw 26%, OFI 55%. Our prediction is Rennes 0-1 OFI.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs OFI?
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal of Rennes: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs OFI?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.