Trabzonspor vs Hearts Prediction and Betting Tips | Europa Conference League Gameweek 2
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Papara Park, Trabzon · updated 2026-10-10
Trabzonspor welcome Hearts to Papara Park in Trabzon in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
Trabzonspor have played 2 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 0.0 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate. Hearts have played 2 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 0.0 and conceding 3.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Trabzonspor are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 26% and Hearts at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Trabzonspor 1.62, Hearts 1.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Hearts: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created (goals minus xG: -2.5).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 65.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 10.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Trabzonspor vs Hearts: season averages side by side
| Trabzonspor | Per match this season | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 2 |
| 0.0 | Goals scored | 0.0 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 3.0 |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 15.0 | Shots | 17.0 |
| 2.5 | On target | 5.0 |
| 49.0 | Possession % | 65.5 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 0% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 5.5 | Corners | 10.0 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.62 |
Trabzonspor vs Hearts prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.62 for Trabzonspor and 1.28 for Hearts - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Trabzonspor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Trabzonspor 2-1 Hearts
Trabzonspor vs Hearts betting tips
- Tip 1: Trabzonspor win or draw (double chance) 70% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.89 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 15.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
Trabzonspor vs Hearts: questions and answers
When is Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
Trabzonspor vs Hearts is on Thursday 22 October 2026, kick-off 16:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 2.
Where is Trabzonspor vs Hearts played?
At Papara Park, Trabzon, Trabzonspor's home ground.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
Trabzonspor are the favourites: Trabzonspor 45%, draw 26%, Hearts 30%. Our prediction is Trabzonspor 2-1 Hearts.
How many goals will there be in Trabzonspor vs Hearts?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.